Date Archives January 2008

Check your school district before you buy

And as much as it pains me to say, don’t necessarily trust the MLS. Here is why (I’ve written about this numerous time over the years)-

School districts change all the time. I tell my clients that they shouldn’t feel confident that they will remain in the school district in which they think they’re buying unless they can throw a rock from their front porch and hit the school – and even then the lines may be redrawn.

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Zillow might be right(er)

Get ready for it – “marketing” a home may be free, sooner than we might expect. The successful Realtor’s value will come from managing the transactions and representing the clients’ best interests.  Zillow’s zestimates soon might very well be right “enough” for some. Zillow’s zestimates might be more right today than they were yesterday.

From TechCrunch

Zillow is trying to create a database of all homes in the U.S., which is a different approach than other real-estate sites. “It is the database of all homes, not just homes on the market,” notes Frink. This is both a strength and a weakness.

Sound familiar?

Current and historical data about all real property is immediately and easily available directly from the Gateway …

Zillow, and other private entities striving to succeed, are more fluid, more adaptable and more driven to succeed in a timely fashion than is the National Association of Realtors. It is really that simple. For now, Realtor.com has the best data … but for how long?

I’ll stick by what I wrote in August of 2006:

… what if Zillow’s reach becomes so great, their data become so vast and inclusive, that their Zestimates significantly impact what is fair market value? What if the purchasing and selling population refer to Zillow as the end-all, be-all estimator for their homes’ valuations? What if “close enough” is “good enough”? What if they become the de facto standard for home valuations?

Perfection with regards to a property’s valuation is a fluid thing, a moving target dependent on the “right” buyer who is ready, willing and able.

Can their data aggregation ever mitigate and/or minimize sufficiently the potential impacts of those unzillowable features? Doubtful, but they may be able to minimize the impact of the data’s shortcoming, provided they are accurate elsewhere. Might Zillow become just another tool used by Realtors?

I didn’t get the press release and can’t find a full copy of it, but I didn’t see that Virginia was one of the 11 states where they are adding data. Charlottesville, Albemarle and Fluvanna are still “back woods” territory with accuracy levels of one star …  but not so back woods as Greene, Nelson, Waynesboro and Augusta – they aren’t even listed on the zestimates page. A quick spot check of a few houses in Charlottesville, Virginia and Crozet, Virginia revealed that the zestimates are wildly inaccurate. From a “valuing-a-home” competitive stance, they aren’t yet a threat to competent Realtors in the Charlottesville market … yet. (Update 9 May 2014: All of Central Virginia (except Fluvanna?!) are still all rated – by Zillow – as having one-star accuracy.)

Realtors’ complacency and dependence on the MLS will be their downfall … Zillow, et. al. “get” that the data needs to be accurate; many Realtors don’t. Here’s a thought – what if Zillow starts charging Realtors for access?

Much, much more at Bloodhound, Kris and Jay.

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What good is a real estate blog?

In an industry with a LOT of shills, slackers and slimeballs, only the passionate and hardworking will take the time to write a blog.Work ethic makes all the difference when you’re trying to help someone sell or buy a house.  To sell my home this past summer, I chose a blogger in Northern Va (Merv Forney) because I got to know him through his blog and came to admire his integrity….  I joke that my house was the only one in Loudoun County to sell this past October, but it’s not far from the truth.Merv recommended Jim, so I started reading RealCentralVa.  I was immediately impressed by the fact that Jim’s blog encompasses local issues and politics as well as real estate.I just cannot see the typical real estate agent maintaining a blog for more than a few weeks when all he has to say is crap like “now’s a great time to buy,” and “real estate is a great investment.”When I imply most Realtors are dishonest, I don’t mean they’re outright liars: I just think most cannot overcome the self-interest of getting a commission to think about what’s best for the client.

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